Semico predicts the semi-conductive industry’s prospect is dull in 2007
The market survey company Semico Research president Jim Feldhan showed a few days ago, the stock swelled to lead to the fact the utilization factor of the productivity dropped, already impelling this company to reduce in 2007, the semi-conductive industry’s growth rate is predicted.
Jim Feldhan shows while delivering a opening speech at the annual summit of Semico Research, he predicts the expenditure of the capital equipment drops by 4% in 2007, the utilization factor of the productivity is dropped to under 85%. In view of factor these, Jim Feldhan semi-conductive the intersection of industry and prediction of growth rate drop to 5.8% to 2007 company their. In the last autumn, Semico Research semi-conductive the intersection of industry and prediction of growth rate bring up to 7% it to 2007 once. 2006 annual sales amount increases by 9.2%.
Semico Research makes use of appropriate algorithm to assess the index of its inflection point (Inflection Point Indicator; IPI) . Feldhan shows, this is that one is used for predicting usually very reliable index of selling trend. He says, IPI indicates the semi-conductive sales amount increases by 5.8%, in fact it may be very optimistic prediction.
The market survey company iSuppli has announced, the overall surplus chip stock rose to 4,300 million dollars last fourth quarter in January, 4,100 million dollars comparing with the time of finishing the third quarter have risen by 4.9%.
“Other prediction organizations think that increase and culminate in 2007. We do not believe this kind of view. ” Feldhan shows to about 200 audiences. “We think it is that one is revised slowly annually this year. ”
Feldhan shows, the average selling price may drop by about 1.4%, unit production is expected to increase by 8% at most.
Feldhan shows, will be very powerful in 2008, it is estimated the semi-conductive sales amount increases by about 15%, even may be up to 20%. He still points out, it may be in 2010 every year to it is estimated the prospect will be very good too in 2009, the next one increases and slows down.